… power law, or logistic. For countries showing power law growth we have determined the scaling
… infections we have extrapolated the expected saturation of the total number of infections …

… In the present paper, we analyze the publicly-available national COVID-19 infection data […
COVID-19 infection curves for many nations exhibit power-law growth after exponential growth. …

… ratio of large-scale to small-scale growth rates. We confirm … (neglecting saturation when the
pandemic has reached most … Finally, epidemic growth rates during the COVID-19 pandemic …

… The status of the COVID-19 pandemic is better understood by … The optimistic SIA model
leading to saturating logistic growth … , a pattern of exponential growth, power-law growth, logistic …

… the extent of the global pandemic we analyze infection data … two different growth patterns:
either steady power law growth … of a saturation we have used the simple power law fit instead …

… We hypothesize that there is a universal growth pattern of … significant slowing down and
‘saturation’ in the infection spread… The fits to the data change if the time scale is changed. Hence, …

… COVID-19 epidemic curves not only may present a subexponential early growth but can also
exhibit a similar subexponential (power… The insets are in log-log scale, so that a power law …

… ) follows a sub-exponential power-law scaling whenever effective … Left panel: Power law
LGM fits to second and third wave … peak and saturation values in epidemic growth curves from …

… epidemic curve exhibit power law growth before saturation. This feature can be used as an
important diagnostic for flattening of the epidemic … and forecasting epidemics. Kermack and …

… -frequency distribution follows a power law (at least for the … that is effectively captured by
the saturation term in the GRM, … wave effect on the preprint growth pattern has been observed. …